Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-08 · 20:15
12.6435.9%
X2.9731.9%
22.9532.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
LLWLLLDWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Estoril
LLWLDLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.40
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.20
20%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.30
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.20
Against
5.80
10.00
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.20
1.50
Total goals
3.40
30%3/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.40goals per match
Estoril conceded2.20
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.20goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
20%2/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.80
10.00
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.90
Match total
6.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.50
Match total
23.90

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
2.50
On target
3.90
4%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches344
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%34.3%-1.6 pp
Draw31.9%34.6%+2.7 pp
Away32.1%31.1%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.6%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.101.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.3%
1-013.1%
0-011.3%
0-111.3%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.934.27
Average total9.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=344.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches136
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.1%25.7%–41.4% CI
Draw FT44.9%36.8%–53.2% CI
Away FT22.1%15.9%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals33.1%
3+ goals9.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away42.6%