Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 20:30
11.3769.2%
X4.9719.1%
28.1211.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WLWWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Guimaraes
WLWDDLWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
0.30
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

9.00N=10
For
6.90N=10
3.20
Against
5.70
12.20
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.90
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.40goals per match
Porto conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.70
12.20
Match total
12.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.30
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
29.30
Match total
26.80

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.70
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.2%70.6%+1.4 pp
Draw19.1%19.1%+0.0 pp
Away11.7%10.3%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.530.9%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

2.090.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.4%
2-114.0%
2-010.3%
3-08.8%
1-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.243.28
Average total10.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=136.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.1%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%43.6%–74.4% CI
Draw FT28.6%16.3%–45.1% CI
Away FT11.4%4.5%–26.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.1%
Away34.3%