Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 18:00
12.0346.8%
X3.2629.1%
23.9424.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
DWDWLWWLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Estrela
WLDDDLLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.40
0.80
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.70
Against
6.10
9.70
Total
10.50
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.10goals per matchEstrela conceded1.40Matchup
Estrela attack
0.50goals per matchMoreirense conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.10
9.70
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.30
Match total
23.80
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.70
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches295
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%50.8%+4.1 pp
Draw29.1%30.2%+1.0 pp
Away24.1%19.0%-5.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS46.4%
Historical average
1.45–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.3%
0-012.5%
1-112.5%
2-19.5%
2-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–3.73
Average total9.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=295.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.6%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches113
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.1%36.3%–54.3% CI
Draw FT41.6%32.9%–50.8% CI
Away FT13.3%8.2%–20.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals31.9%
3+ goals15.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.5%
Away31.0%