Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 18:00
12.0346.8%
X3.2629.1%
23.9424.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
DWDWLWWLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Estrela
WLDDDLLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.40
0.80
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.70
Against
6.10
9.70
Total
10.50
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
1.90
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.10goals per match
Estrela conceded1.40
Matchup

Estrela attack

0.50goals per match
Moreirense conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.10
9.70
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.30
Match total
23.80

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.70
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches295
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%50.8%+4.1 pp
Draw29.1%30.2%+1.0 pp
Away24.1%19.0%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.450.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.3%
0-012.5%
1-112.5%
2-19.5%
2-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.493.73
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=295.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.6%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches113
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.1%36.3%–54.3% CI
Draw FT41.6%32.9%–50.8% CI
Away FT13.3%8.2%–20.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals31.9%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.5%
Away31.0%