Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 15:30
12.1843.5%
X3.3428.4%
23.3728.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
WLWLLDDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Portimonense
WLLLLLWLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
2.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.80
Against
6.80
8.00
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
2.60
3.20
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.20goals per match
Portimonense conceded2.60
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.00goals per match
Chaves conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
2.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.80
8.00
Match total
11.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
29.40
Match total
25.10

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,096
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.5%43.8%+0.3 pp
Draw28.4%30.0%+1.6 pp
Away28.1%26.2%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.451.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-011.2%
2-110.9%
0-07.8%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.41
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,096.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches333
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.5%32.5%–42.9% CI
Draw FT37.5%32.5%–42.9% CI
Away FT24.9%20.6%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away42.3%