Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 20:30
11.9748.2%
X3.7425.4%
23.6026.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Benfica
WWWDWWWDLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

3.90
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.10
2.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
6.30N=10
2.30
Against
3.90
8.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.90
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
4.70
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

3.90goals per match
Benfica conceded0.90
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.70goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
2.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
2.30
Corners against
3.90
8.60
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.70
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
22.30
Match total
20.90

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
7.00
On target
4.80
25%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches308
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%49.0%+0.8 pp
Draw25.4%27.9%+2.5 pp
Away26.4%23.1%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.651.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-010.4%
2-010.4%
2-19.1%
0-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.744.33
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=308.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%27.4%–47.6% CI
Draw FT42.9%32.8%–53.5% CI
Away FT20.2%13.0%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.9%
Away42.9%