Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:30
12.3141.2%
X3.1330.4%
23.3428.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
LLWDDWDWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLLLLWLWDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
8.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.40goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded2.00
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.00goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
8.10
Match total
8.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.90
Match total
3.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
28.60
Match total
23.00

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.60
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches943
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%41.7%+0.5 pp
Draw30.4%31.3%+0.9 pp
Away28.5%27.0%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.281.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
1-012.3%
2-09.5%
0-09.4%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.30
Average total9.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=942.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches326
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.4%28.5%–38.7% CI
Draw FT42.9%37.7%–48.4% CI
Away FT23.6%19.3%–28.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away44.5%