Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:30
12.3141.2%
X3.1330.4%
23.3428.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rio Ave
LLWDDWDWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLLLLWLWDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
8.10
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rio Ave attack
1.40goals per matchGil Vicente conceded2.00Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.00goals per matchRio Ave conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
8.10
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.90
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
28.60
Match total
23.00
Shots
9.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.60
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches943
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%41.7%+0.5 pp
Draw30.4%31.3%+0.9 pp
Away28.5%27.0%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS49.7%
Historical average
1.28–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.3%
1-012.3%
2-09.5%
0-09.4%
2-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.07–4.30
Average total9.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=942.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.525.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches326
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.4%28.5%–38.7% CI
Draw FT42.9%37.7%–48.4% CI
Away FT23.6%19.3%–28.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.7%
Away44.5%