Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-05 · 20:15
12.1743.8%
X3.2729.1%
23.5027.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
LDWLDWLDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Boavista
DLLLWLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.40
Against
6.30
12.00
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.00
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Farense attack

0.90goals per match
Boavista conceded1.90
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.90goals per match
Farense conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.30
12.00
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.80
Match total
28.20

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
3.90
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,036
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%44.1%+0.3 pp
Draw29.1%30.2%+1.2 pp
Away27.2%25.7%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.421.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-011.9%
2-110.0%
0-08.3%
2-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.38
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,035.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches340
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT38.2%33.2%–43.5% CI
Draw FT37.6%32.7%–42.9% CI
Away FT24.1%19.9%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away42.9%