Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 18:00
12.3640.1%
X3.1629.9%
23.1629.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vizela
LLDLDLLLDW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Casa Pia
LDLLWWLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
2.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
2.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.40
Against
6.10
11.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
2.40
3.30
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.10goals per match
Casa Pia conceded2.40
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.20goals per match
Vizela conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.10
11.50
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.80
Match total
3.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
28.00
Match total
28.50

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
4.20
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches827
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%42.1%+2.0 pp
Draw29.9%30.4%+0.4 pp
Away29.9%27.6%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.519.5%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.271.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-012.1%
0-010.6%
2-09.6%
0-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.934.40
Average total9.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=827.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.544.7%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.525.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches303
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.3%27.3%–37.8% CI
Draw FT43.9%38.4%–49.5% CI
Away FT23.8%19.3%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.5%
Away44.2%