Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 20:30
18.2611.5%
X5.2118.2%
21.3570.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
LWWWLLWLLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Porto
LWWWLDWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.90
Against
4.30
10.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.80goals per match
Porto conceded1.00
Matchup

Porto attack

1.70goals per match
Estoril conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.30
10.40
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.20
Match total
6.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
27.40
Match total
31.20

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.20
On target
4.60
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.5%11.8%+0.3 pp
Draw18.2%16.1%-2.1 pp
Away70.3%72.0%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

0.822.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-216.1%
1-214.0%
1-18.6%
0-17.5%
0-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.186.96
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away70.0%