Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 18:00
12.6735.5%
X3.1030.6%
22.7934.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
DLLLDDLWLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Rio Ave
LDDLLDDLDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
2.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.20
Against
8.30
9.60
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
2.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.90goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.30
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.70goals per match
Boavista conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
8.30
9.60
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.50
Match total
5.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
29.30
Match total
28.60

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.20
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches612
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%32.5%-3.0 pp
Draw30.6%34.3%+3.8 pp
Away34.0%33.2%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.061.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
0-012.6%
1-012.6%
0-111.8%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.654.56
Average total9.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=612.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.532.8%
Over 11.522.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches232
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.9%23.4%–35.0% CI
Draw FT45.7%39.4%–52.1% CI
Away FT25.4%20.3%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.8%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.1%
Away42.2%