Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 15:30
11.9249.4%
X3.4227.7%
24.1322.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
WWLWWWWDLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Moreirense
WWWDDWLLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.80
Against
4.70
12.00
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
3.20
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
2.10goals per matchMoreirense conceded0.90Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.10goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.70
12.00
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.90
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
25.40
Match total
30.50
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.70
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches625
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.4%52.3%+3.0 pp
Draw27.7%27.8%+0.1 pp
Away22.9%19.8%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.50–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
1-012.6%
2-111.5%
2-011.0%
0-010.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.62–3.87
Average total9.49
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=624.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.524.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.8%34.4%–47.5% CI
Draw FT41.7%35.3%–48.4% CI
Away FT17.5%13.0%–23.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.9%
Away38.9%