Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 15:30
11.9249.4%
X3.4227.7%
24.1322.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WWLWWWWDLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Moreirense
WWWDDWLLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.80
Against
4.70
12.00
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
3.20
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

2.10goals per match
Moreirense conceded0.90
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.10goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.70
12.00
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.90
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
25.40
Match total
30.50

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.70
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches625
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.4%52.3%+3.0 pp
Draw27.7%27.8%+0.1 pp
Away22.9%19.8%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.500.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
1-012.6%
2-111.5%
2-011.0%
0-010.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.623.87
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=624.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.524.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.8%34.4%–47.5% CI
Draw FT41.7%35.3%–48.4% CI
Away FT17.5%13.0%–23.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.9%
Away38.9%