Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 18:00
11.1086.4%
X10.019.5%
223.044.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
DWDWWWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Chaves
WLLLLDDLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.00
Against
6.70
11.00
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.70
3.50
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.90goals per match
Chaves conceded1.70
Matchup

Chaves attack

0.70goals per match
Benfica conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.70
11.00
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.60
Match total
5.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.40
Match total
26.80

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
8.50
On target
3.10
17%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home86.4%92.3%+5.9 pp
Draw9.5%5.8%-3.7 pp
Away4.1%1.9%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS38.5%

Historical average

3.060.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.3%
5-011.5%
3-011.5%
4-09.6%
3-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

8.622.69
Average total11.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.565.4%
Over 10.551.9%
Over 11.540.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT92.3%66.7%–98.6% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals84.6%
3+ goals46.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home92.3%
Away30.8%