Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 15:30
12.5137.8%
X3.2229.4%
22.8932.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WDWDWLWWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Arouca
LLLWWLWWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
0.80
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Against
5.40
10.60
Total
9.10
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
3.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.10goals per match
Arouca conceded1.20
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.90goals per match
Moreirense conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.40
10.60
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
26.00
Match total
25.10

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.70
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches593
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%33.2%-4.5 pp
Draw29.4%35.4%+6.0 pp
Away32.8%31.4%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.151.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
1-011.0%
0-010.6%
0-19.1%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.244.57
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=592.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches190
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.8%20.1%–32.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%43.0%–57.0% CI
Away FT24.2%18.7%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.8%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away44.2%