Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 15:30
12.5137.8%
X3.2229.4%
22.8932.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
WDWDWLWWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Arouca
LLLWWLWWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.60
0.80
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Against
5.40
10.60
Total
9.10
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.10goals per matchArouca conceded1.20Matchup
Arouca attack
1.90goals per matchMoreirense conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.40
10.60
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
26.00
Match total
25.10
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.70
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches593
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%33.2%-4.5 pp
Draw29.4%35.4%+6.0 pp
Away32.8%31.4%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.15–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.4%
1-011.0%
0-010.6%
0-19.1%
2-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.24–4.57
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=592.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.528.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches190
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.8%20.1%–32.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%43.0%–57.0% CI
Away FT24.2%18.7%–30.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.8%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.2%
Away44.2%