Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 15:30
14.2522.3%
X3.5326.8%
21.8650.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chaves
DWLWLLDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Guimaraes
DWLWDDLWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
2.00
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
6.80N=10
3.30
Against
6.20
8.10
Total
13.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded
0.80
3.30
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chaves attack
1.30goals per matchGuimaraes conceded0.80Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.20goals per matchChaves conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.20
8.10
Match total
13.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.50
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
28.70
Match total
26.60
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.3%21.2%-1.1 pp
Draw26.8%22.1%-4.7 pp
Away50.9%56.7%+5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS44.2%
Historical average
0.87–1.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-214.4%
0-112.0%
1-111.5%
1-211.1%
1-010.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.21–5.51
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.524.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.4%13.6%–34.7% CI
Draw FT25.9%16.3%–38.4% CI
Away FT51.7%39.2%–64.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals8.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home32.8%
Away56.9%