Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 15:30
14.2522.3%
X3.5326.8%
21.8650.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
DWLWLLDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Guimaraes
DWLWDDLWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
2.00
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
6.80N=10
3.30
Against
6.20
8.10
Total
13.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded
0.80
3.30
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.80
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.20goals per match
Chaves conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.20
8.10
Match total
13.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.50
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
28.70
Match total
26.60

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.3%21.2%-1.1 pp
Draw26.8%22.1%-4.7 pp
Away50.9%56.7%+5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS44.2%

Historical average

0.871.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.4%
0-112.0%
1-111.5%
1-211.1%
1-010.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.215.51
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.4%13.6%–34.7% CI
Draw FT25.9%16.3%–38.4% CI
Away FT51.7%39.2%–64.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals8.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.8%
Away56.9%