Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 20:30
11.1482.8%
X7.9611.9%
217.865.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWLWWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Vizela
DDWLDDLWLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.80
0.30
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.20
Against
5.60
11.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.10goals per match
Vizela conceded1.70
Matchup

Vizela attack

0.80goals per match
Porto conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.60
11.60
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.40
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
28.90
Match total
28.60

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
6.50
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.8%90.0%+7.2 pp
Draw11.9%7.5%-4.4 pp
Away5.3%2.5%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.552.5%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

2.700.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-117.5%
3-012.5%
4-210.0%
2-110.0%
1-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.673.03
Average total10.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away36.4%