Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 18:00
12.6735.6%
X3.1630.1%
22.7734.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
WLDWLDWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Rio Ave
LLDDLLDDLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.50
Against
8.20
12.30
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Farense attack

1.10goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.40
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.60goals per match
Farense conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.50
Corners against
8.20
12.30
Match total
11.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.50
Match total
5.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
26.20
Match total
28.00

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches906
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.6%33.3%-2.3 pp
Draw30.1%34.0%+3.9 pp
Away34.3%32.7%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.141.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
0-010.9%
1-010.6%
0-110.0%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.75
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=905.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches315
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT27.0%22.4%–32.1% CI
Draw FT46.7%41.2%–52.2% CI
Away FT26.3%21.8%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away45.4%