Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:30
12.0147.3%
X3.3228.6%
23.9524.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
WWLWLDDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Estrela
DWLDDDLLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.50
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.00
Against
6.60
11.50
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.30goals per match
Estrela conceded1.60
Matchup

Estrela attack

0.70goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.60
11.50
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
6.40
Match total
3.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
32.10
Match total
22.60

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches720
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.3%47.4%+0.1 pp
Draw28.6%28.7%+0.1 pp
Away24.1%23.9%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.400.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
1-113.5%
0-010.3%
2-19.2%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.07
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=720.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches244
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.1%30.3%–42.3% CI
Draw FT41.8%35.8%–48.1% CI
Away FT22.1%17.4%–27.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals32.4%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away39.8%