Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-15 · 20:15
11.6258.7%
X4.0623.4%
25.3117.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
DLWWWLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Portimonense
WWLLLLLWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
2.60
80%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.50
Against
7.60
10.30
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
2.60
3.30
Total goals
3.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.90goals per match
Portimonense conceded2.60
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.20goals per match
Estoril conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.60
10.30
Match total
11.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.20
Match total
5.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
27.70
Match total
25.50

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.50
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches238
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%60.1%+1.4 pp
Draw23.4%18.9%-4.5 pp
Away17.9%21.0%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.531.9%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.950.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.9%
2-110.5%
2-010.1%
1-09.2%
3-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.323.84
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=238.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.1%41.1%–64.8% CI
Draw FT28.1%18.6%–40.1% CI
Away FT18.8%11.1%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals51.6%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.9%
Away46.9%