Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-11 · 20:15
11.8451.4%
X3.5926.4%
24.2622.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
WWDDDWDWLD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Chaves
LWLLLLDDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
2.10
20%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.40
Against
5.80
10.00
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.70
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.60goals per match
Chaves conceded2.10
Matchup

Chaves attack

0.80goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.80
10.00
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.10
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
28.60
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.20
On target
4.10
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches444
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%47.7%-3.7 pp
Draw26.4%30.6%+4.3 pp
Away22.2%21.6%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.520.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-013.3%
2-010.1%
0-09.2%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.25
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=444.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches148
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%31.1%–46.5% CI
Draw FT39.9%32.3%–47.9% CI
Away FT21.6%15.8%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away39.2%