Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 18:00
11.2178.3%
X6.6114.3%
212.777.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWLWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Guimaraes
LLWDWLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.20
Against
4.90
9.60
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.20goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.60
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.10goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.90
9.60
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.80
Match total
5.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
28.40
Match total
30.10

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.60
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.3%76.8%-1.5 pp
Draw14.3%17.9%+3.5 pp
Away7.4%5.4%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

2.550.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.9%
3-010.7%
2-010.7%
1-18.9%
4-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.713.00
Average total10.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.8%
Over 9.560.7%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals64.7%
3+ goals41.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.5%
Away47.1%