Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 18:00
12.9032.7%
X3.4627.4%
22.3740.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
LLDWWLLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Arouca
LDDLDWWDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.70
Against
6.70
10.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.90goals per match
Arouca conceded1.30
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.70goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.70
10.30
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
28.20
Match total
25.40

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.50
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%31.1%-1.6 pp
Draw27.4%29.0%+1.6 pp
Away40.0%39.9%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS58.4%

Historical average

1.251.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
0-18.9%
1-08.5%
1-27.8%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.615.34
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.1%25.3%–46.2% CI
Draw FT35.1%25.3%–46.2% CI
Away FT29.9%20.8%–40.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away54.5%