Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 15:30
12.2542.1%
X3.4127.8%
23.1430.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
WLWLLLWLWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Maritimo
LDLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.90
Against
6.60
9.60
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.10goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.90
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.60goals per match
Estoril conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.60
9.60
Match total
12.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.50
Match total
5.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
33.30
Match total
28.40

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.10
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches693
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%43.6%+1.5 pp
Draw27.8%27.4%-0.3 pp
Away30.2%29.0%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.471.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
1-010.1%
0-08.9%
2-18.9%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.714.52
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=693.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches224
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.2%30.2%–42.6% CI
Draw FT39.3%33.1%–45.8% CI
Away FT24.6%19.4%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.7%
Away42.4%