Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 15:30
12.2542.1%
X3.4127.8%
23.1430.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Estoril
WLWLLLWLWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Maritimo
LDLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.90
Against
6.60
9.60
Total
12.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Estoril attack
1.10goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.90Matchup
Maritimo attack
0.60goals per matchEstoril conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.60
9.60
Match total
12.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.50
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
33.30
Match total
28.40
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.10
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches693
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%43.6%+1.5 pp
Draw27.8%27.4%-0.3 pp
Away30.2%29.0%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.47–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.1%
1-010.1%
0-08.9%
2-18.9%
2-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.71–4.52
Average total10.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=693.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches224
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.2%30.2%–42.6% CI
Draw FT39.3%33.1%–45.8% CI
Away FT24.6%19.4%–30.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.7%
Away42.4%