Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 15:30
12.1045.1%
X3.6326.1%
23.2928.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
LDWLLWLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Boavista
LDLLWLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
2.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
7.30
Against
6.40
12.20
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.30goals per match
Boavista conceded2.10
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.10goals per match
Chaves conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
7.30
Corners against
6.40
12.20
Match total
11.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.90
Match total
6.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
27.50
Match total
28.30

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches246
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.1%44.7%-0.4 pp
Draw26.1%34.6%+8.5 pp
Away28.8%20.7%-8.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.591.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
1-010.6%
2-19.3%
2-28.5%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.32
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=246.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%26.9%–48.1% CI
Draw FT47.4%36.5%–58.4% CI
Away FT15.8%9.3%–25.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away47.4%