Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 12:45
12.2242.6%
X3.4927.1%
23.1330.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gil Vicente
LWWDDWDDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Casa Pia
WLLDLLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.50N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.10
Against
5.80
12.60
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.10goals per matchCasa Pia conceded1.60Matchup
Casa Pia attack
0.50goals per matchGil Vicente conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.80
12.60
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.30
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.20
Match total
26.40
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.90
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches484
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%44.8%+2.2 pp
Draw27.1%28.1%+1.0 pp
Away30.2%27.1%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS53.9%
Historical average
1.54–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
2-19.5%
2-09.5%
1-09.3%
1-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.68–4.55
Average total10.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=483.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches143
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%30.9%–46.6% CI
Draw FT37.1%29.6%–45.2% CI
Away FT24.5%18.2%–32.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.6%
Away44.1%