Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 12:45
12.2242.6%
X3.4927.1%
23.1330.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
LWWDDWDDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Casa Pia
WLLDLLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.10
Against
5.80
12.60
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.10goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.60
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.50goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.80
12.60
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.30
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.20
Match total
26.40

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.90
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches484
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%44.8%+2.2 pp
Draw27.1%28.1%+1.0 pp
Away30.2%27.1%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.541.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
2-19.5%
2-09.5%
1-09.3%
1-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.55
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=483.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches143
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%30.9%–46.6% CI
Draw FT37.1%29.6%–45.2% CI
Away FT24.5%18.2%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.6%
Away44.1%