Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-26 · 21:15
16.2515.2%
X4.7420.0%
21.4664.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vizela
WWWDLLWDLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WLDWWWDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.20
Against
2.90
10.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.40goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.90
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.90goals per match
Vizela conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
2.90
10.40
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.90
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.20
Match total
27.50

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
4.80
On target
6.00
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.2%22.7%+7.6 pp
Draw20.0%7.6%-12.4 pp
Away64.9%69.7%+4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

0.972.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.1%
1-312.1%
1-210.6%
0-210.6%
0-310.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.765.91
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away76.9%