Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 20:30
12.6335.9%
X3.5027.0%
22.5537.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWLWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Benfica
LWWWWWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
2.10
0.60
Conceded
0.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
8.60N=10
2.20
Against
4.00
10.00
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
2.10
0.60
Goals conceded
0.50
3.00
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.40goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.10goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
8.60N=10
2.20
Corners against
4.00
10.00
Match total
12.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
22.70
Match total
24.80

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
5.80
On target
5.90
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches318
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%38.7%+2.7 pp
Draw27.0%25.8%-1.2 pp
Away37.1%35.5%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

1.441.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
0-18.8%
2-18.2%
1-07.9%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.344.91
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=318.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches92
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.1%29.8%–49.3% CI
Draw FT26.1%18.2%–35.9% CI
Away FT34.8%25.8%–44.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals22.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away53.3%