Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 18:00
12.5337.4%
X3.3728.1%
22.7434.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pacos Ferreira
LDLLWLWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Rio Ave
WDDLLLWDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
7.20
Against
6.40
13.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.70goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.30
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.00goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
7.20
Corners against
6.40
13.60
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.00
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
29.90
Match total
31.80

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.90
5%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches529
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%38.0%+0.6 pp
Draw28.1%28.0%-0.1 pp
Away34.5%34.0%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.261.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
1-011.3%
1-210.0%
0-19.3%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.56
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=529.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.4%25.8%–39.7% CI
Draw FT41.8%34.6%–49.3% CI
Away FT25.9%19.9%–32.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.7%
Away49.4%