Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 18:00
12.5337.4%
X3.3728.1%
22.7434.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
LDLLWLWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Rio Ave
WDDLLLWDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
7.20
Against
6.40
13.60
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
0.70goals per matchRio Ave conceded1.30Matchup
Rio Ave attack
1.00goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
7.20
Corners against
6.40
13.60
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.00
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.40N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
29.90
Match total
31.80
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.90
5%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches529
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%38.0%+0.6 pp
Draw28.1%28.0%-0.1 pp
Away34.5%34.0%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS52.2%
Historical average
1.26–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
1-011.3%
1-210.0%
0-19.3%
2-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.56
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=529.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.4%25.8%–39.7% CI
Draw FT41.8%34.6%–49.3% CI
Away FT25.9%19.9%–32.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.7%
Away49.4%