Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 18:00
12.0945.2%
X3.3728.1%
23.5426.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
LDLWDWWLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Estoril
LLLLLLLLLL
0W 0D 10L · 0.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.40
1.30
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.70
Against
6.30
9.80
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.20goals per match
Estoril conceded2.00
Matchup

Estoril attack

0.40goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.30
9.80
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
5.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.30
Match total
30.20

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.70
On target
2.30
10%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches532
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.2%42.3%-2.9 pp
Draw28.1%30.8%+2.8 pp
Away26.7%26.9%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.451.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
1-010.3%
2-19.6%
0-08.3%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.33
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=532.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches176
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.2%28.6%–42.5% CI
Draw FT39.2%32.3%–46.6% CI
Away FT25.6%19.7%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away44.3%