Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 15:30
11.7554.0%
X3.7925.0%
24.5021.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WDLWWWLDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Gil Vicente
LWLWWLLLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.90N=10
4.00
Against
5.30
9.20
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.60
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.90goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.30
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.30
9.20
Match total
12.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

17.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
31.00
Match total
27.00

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
3.40
On target
4.20
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches397
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.0%56.2%+2.1 pp
Draw25.0%25.7%+0.7 pp
Away21.0%18.1%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.680.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.3%
1-012.1%
1-111.3%
2-010.1%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.154.07
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=397.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.2%35.0%–51.7% CI
Draw FT40.9%32.9%–49.4% CI
Away FT15.9%10.6%–23.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away38.6%