Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 20:30
16.8713.8%
X4.5420.9%
21.4565.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
WDWLWWLWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Porto
WDWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
0.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.40
Against
4.20
11.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.40
1.90
Total goals
2.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.10goals per match
Porto conceded0.40
Matchup

Porto attack

1.70goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.20
11.30
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
6.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
30.20
Match total
31.40

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.40
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.8%6.0%-7.8 pp
Draw20.9%14.9%-5.9 pp
Away65.3%79.1%+13.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS41.8%

Historical average

0.551.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-125.4%
0-216.4%
1-216.4%
1-47.5%
1-16.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.185.85
Average total9.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.3%
Over 9.537.3%
Over 10.526.9%
Over 11.516.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Draw FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Away FT71.4%50.0%–86.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away85.7%