Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-19 · 20:15
11.7354.9%
X3.8025.0%
24.7120.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
WWLLWLWWLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Vizela
WLLLDWWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.10
Against
6.00
10.20
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.60goals per match
Vizela conceded1.10
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.00goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.00
10.20
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

4.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.80
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
31.80
Match total
27.50

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.50
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches435
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.9%56.3%+1.5 pp
Draw25.0%24.8%-0.2 pp
Away20.2%18.9%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.640.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.1%
2-112.4%
1-111.0%
2-011.0%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.98
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=435.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches136
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.1%36.0%–52.5% CI
Draw FT39.7%31.9%–48.1% CI
Away FT16.2%10.9%–23.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.1%
Away35.3%