Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 20:30
11.1979.9%
X7.0013.6%
214.646.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWWLWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Casa Pia
WWLLDLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.50
Against
5.20
9.00
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.40goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.40
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.50goals per match
Porto conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.20
9.00
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.90
Match total
5.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
28.90
Match total
27.30

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.50
On target
2.70
17%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.9%81.0%+1.0 pp
Draw13.6%14.3%+0.7 pp
Away6.5%4.8%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS45.2%

Historical average

2.520.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.3%
3-011.9%
2-110.7%
1-09.5%
1-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.762.73
Average total10.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.559.5%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.5%36.8%–74.4% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals65.2%
3+ goals34.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.6%
Away43.5%