Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 15:30
12.6036.3%
X3.1230.3%
22.8333.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
WDLLWWWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Guimaraes
LLLWDWLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.90
10%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.50
0.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.90
Against
5.10
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
1.50
Total goals
2.90
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.90goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.90
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.00goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.10
9.90
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.10
Match total
6.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
30.70
Match total
29.90

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.40
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches614
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%35.2%-1.2 pp
Draw30.3%36.0%+5.7 pp
Away33.4%28.8%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.516.6%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.131.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
1-013.5%
0-012.2%
0-19.0%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.874.56
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=614.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches225
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.1%25.4%–37.4% CI
Draw FT47.6%41.1%–54.1% CI
Away FT21.3%16.5%–27.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals32.4%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.3%
Away40.4%