Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 20:30
11.2078.8%
X6.6414.2%
213.706.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
WWWWLWWWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Maritimo
WLDLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
0.60
0.50
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
8.00N=10
For
6.50N=10
2.40
Against
6.30
10.40
Total
12.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.60
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
2.50goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.70Matchup
Maritimo attack
0.60goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
2.40
Corners against
6.30
10.40
Match total
12.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.30
Match total
30.10
Shots
17.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
6.10
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.8%75.8%-3.0 pp
Draw14.2%17.7%+3.5 pp
Away6.9%6.5%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS43.5%
Historical average
2.37–0.65
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-014.5%
2-112.9%
3-09.7%
1-08.1%
1-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.44–2.73
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.89
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals57.9%
3+ goals31.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.4%
Away42.1%