Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 18:00
111.887.9%
X6.1815.3%
21.2376.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
DLLDWWLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Benfica
WLWWWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.10
1.00
Conceded
0.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
10%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
9.20N=10
5.90
Against
3.90
11.30
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded
0.50
1.90
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.90goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.10goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
9.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.90
11.30
Match total
13.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
6.20
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
29.50
Match total
24.60

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
4.10
On target
5.60
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.9%7.7%-0.3 pp
Draw15.3%12.8%-2.5 pp
Away76.8%79.5%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.541.0%
BTTS43.6%

Historical average

0.672.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-215.4%
0-112.8%
1-312.8%
1-210.3%
1-47.7%

Comparable corner averages

2.446.54
Average total8.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.525.6%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away63.6%