Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 15:30
12.4039.4%
X3.2529.1%
23.0131.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vizela
LWWWDLLWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Famalicao
LDWLLWLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
10.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.40goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.80
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.50goals per match
Vizela conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
10.80
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.60
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
24.60
Match total
34.30

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches744
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%38.8%-0.6 pp
Draw29.1%30.0%+0.9 pp
Away31.4%31.2%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.251.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-011.4%
0-19.9%
0-09.8%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.68
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=744.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches265
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.0%21.1%–31.6% CI
Draw FT41.9%36.1%–47.9% CI
Away FT32.1%26.7%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.8%
Away50.6%