Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 15:30
12.1344.5%
X3.4127.8%
23.4227.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
DLDWLLWLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LLWLWLDDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
7.10
Against
5.30
11.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.10goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.60
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.90goals per match
Chaves conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
7.10
Corners against
5.30
11.90
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

4.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
7.30
Match total
5.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
27.30
Match total
31.60

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.90
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches652
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.5%43.4%-1.1 pp
Draw27.8%29.0%+1.2 pp
Away27.7%27.6%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.481.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-010.1%
2-19.0%
0-18.0%
2-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.424.34
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=652.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches209
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.6%25.7%–38.2% CI
Draw FT39.2%32.9%–46.0% CI
Away FT29.2%23.4%–35.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.5%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away51.7%