Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 21:15
18.0611.7%
X4.8919.3%
21.3769.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
WLWWLWWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Porto
DWDWWWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.70
0.50
Conceded
0.50
20%
Over 2.5
40%
10%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
7.60
Against
4.60
11.50
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.70
0.50
Goals conceded
0.50
1.80
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.30goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Matchup

Porto attack

1.70goals per match
Arouca conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
7.60
Corners against
4.60
11.50
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
7.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
25.20
Match total
31.10

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.00
On target
4.50
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.7%9.1%-2.6 pp
Draw19.3%24.2%+4.9 pp
Away69.0%66.7%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

0.822.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.2%
1-213.6%
0-29.1%
1-19.1%
2-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.186.73
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.6%
Away81.0%