Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 19:00
12.0047.3%
X3.3828.0%
23.8224.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
LWDWLWWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Chaves
LWDDLDLWDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.30
Against
7.00
10.40
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.00
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.10goals per match
Chaves conceded1.20
Matchup

Chaves attack

0.80goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
7.00
10.40
Match total
12.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.00
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
30.30
Match total
28.70

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.00
On target
4.10
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches702
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.3%49.4%+2.2 pp
Draw28.0%27.6%-0.3 pp
Away24.8%22.9%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.500.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-012.7%
2-111.1%
0-09.1%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.23
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=702.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.6%28.5%–41.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%35.3%–48.4% CI
Away FT23.7%18.5%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals33.2%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away38.4%