Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 20:30
18.2511.5%
X5.0418.8%
21.3669.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pacos Ferreira
LLDLLWLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LWLDWWWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
6.50N=10
7.60
Against
3.30
14.60
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.70goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.00
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.50goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
7.60
Corners against
3.30
14.60
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.40
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
31.40
Match total
27.00

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.10
On target
5.90
5%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.5%8.7%-2.8 pp
Draw18.8%10.9%-7.9 pp
Away69.7%80.4%+10.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS41.3%

Historical average

0.612.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.6%
1-215.2%
0-413.0%
0-38.7%
2-14.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.417.07
Average total10.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals35.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.3%
Away82.4%