Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 20:30
18.2511.5%
X5.0418.8%
21.3669.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
LLDLLWLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LWLDWWWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
6.50N=10
7.60
Against
3.30
14.60
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
0.70goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded1.00Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.50goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
7.60
Corners against
3.30
14.60
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.40
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
31.40
Match total
27.00
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.10
On target
5.90
5%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.5%8.7%-2.8 pp
Draw18.8%10.9%-7.9 pp
Away69.7%80.4%+10.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS41.3%
Historical average
0.61–2.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-119.6%
1-215.2%
0-413.0%
0-38.7%
2-14.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.41–7.07
Average total10.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.532.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals35.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.3%
Away82.4%