Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 18:00
12.3340.6%
X3.2529.1%
23.1230.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WWDLWWWLDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Vizela
DWLLLDWWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.30
Against
6.00
9.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
1.80
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.90goals per match
Vizela conceded1.00
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.20goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.00
9.00
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.10
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
30.90
Match total
26.30

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.50
On target
4.40
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches910
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%41.9%+1.3 pp
Draw29.1%30.8%+1.7 pp
Away30.3%27.4%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.291.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-012.7%
2-19.9%
0-09.2%
0-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.45
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=909.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches303
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.7%26.7%–37.1% CI
Draw FT42.6%37.1%–48.2% CI
Away FT25.7%21.1%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.1%
Away45.2%