Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 15:30
12.3141.0%
X3.1829.8%
23.2329.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
DWWLLWLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Rio Ave
LWDDLLLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.60
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.40goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.20
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.80goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.90
Match total
4.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
32.00
Match total
32.60

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.20
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches875
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%42.5%+1.6 pp
Draw29.8%30.7%+1.0 pp
Away29.3%26.7%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.291.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-013.0%
0-09.9%
2-19.1%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.45
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=874.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches304
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.6%26.6%–37.0% CI
Draw FT43.1%37.6%–48.7% CI
Away FT25.3%20.8%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away43.8%