Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 18:00
12.0646.0%
X3.3528.3%
23.7025.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
DLWDWDDLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Estoril
DLLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.50
1.40
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.90
Against
6.80
10.50
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.90
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.50goals per match
Estoril conceded2.00
Matchup

Estoril attack

0.50goals per match
Boavista conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.80
10.50
Match total
12.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.20
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
30.30
Match total
31.40

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.30
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches479
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%45.9%-0.1 pp
Draw28.3%26.9%-1.4 pp
Away25.6%27.1%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.401.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.9%
1-111.9%
0-19.6%
2-19.6%
0-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.664.10
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=479.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches143
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.3%27.0%–42.4% CI
Draw FT39.9%32.2%–48.0% CI
Away FT25.9%19.4%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals30.1%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away39.2%