Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 15:30
12.8433.3%
X3.2729.0%
22.5137.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
DWLLDLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLWLWWLLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.90
2.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
6.40N=10
7.00
Against
5.50
11.30
Total
11.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
2.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
0.90goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.30Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
0.90goals per matchSanta Clara conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
7.00
Corners against
5.50
11.30
Match total
11.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
29.20
Match total
27.40
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches520
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%31.2%-2.2 pp
Draw29.0%26.0%-3.0 pp
Away37.7%42.9%+5.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS50.6%
Historical average
1.12–1.36
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.7%
1-111.5%
2-19.0%
1-08.8%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.95–4.88
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=520.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.8%22.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT32.4%25.8%–39.7% CI
Away FT38.8%31.8%–46.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals17.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.8%
Away56.5%