Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 15:30
12.8433.3%
X3.2729.0%
22.5137.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
DWLLDLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLWLWWLLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
2.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
6.40N=10
7.00
Against
5.50
11.30
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
2.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.90goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.30
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.90goals per match
Santa Clara conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
7.00
Corners against
5.50
11.30
Match total
11.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
29.20
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches520
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%31.2%-2.2 pp
Draw29.0%26.0%-3.0 pp
Away37.7%42.9%+5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.121.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.7%
1-111.5%
2-19.0%
1-08.8%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.954.88
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=520.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.8%22.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT32.4%25.8%–39.7% CI
Away FT38.8%31.8%–46.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.8%
Away56.5%