Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-05 · 20:15
12.1244.7%
X3.1929.7%
23.7125.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
WLDLWDWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Portimonense
WLLLLLLLWL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.70
Against
6.50
9.70
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.20goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.90
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.60goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.50
9.70
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
28.30
Match total
26.10

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.60
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches440
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.7%43.0%-1.8 pp
Draw29.7%32.7%+3.0 pp
Away25.6%24.3%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS48.2%

Historical average

1.310.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-013.4%
0-011.8%
2-010.0%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.11
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=440.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches176
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.8%29.1%–43.1% CI
Draw FT44.9%37.7%–52.3% CI
Away FT19.3%14.2%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away38.6%