Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 20:30
11.2774.5%
X5.6616.7%
210.828.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWWLWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Famalicao
LLDWLLWLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.50
0.50
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.30
Against
5.30
10.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.50
0.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.10
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.60goals per match
Famalicao conceded2.00
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.50goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.30
10.20
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.70
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
23.60
Match total
34.70

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
6.60
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.5%76.6%+2.1 pp
Draw16.7%13.0%-3.7 pp
Away8.7%10.4%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

2.320.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.9%
2-011.7%
1-010.4%
3-110.4%
3-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.993.06
Average total11.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.8%
Over 9.564.9%
Over 10.551.9%
Over 11.539.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away44.4%