Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 20:30
11.2774.5%
X5.6616.7%
210.828.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
WWWWWLWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Famalicao
LLDWLLWLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.50
0.50
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.30
Against
5.30
10.20
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.50
0.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.10
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
2.60goals per matchFamalicao conceded2.00Matchup
Famalicao attack
1.50goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.30
10.20
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.70
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
23.60
Match total
34.70
Shots
18.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
6.60
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.5%76.6%+2.1 pp
Draw16.7%13.0%-3.7 pp
Away8.7%10.4%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS55.8%
Historical average
2.32–0.78
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.9%
2-011.7%
1-010.4%
3-110.4%
3-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.99–3.06
Average total11.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.581.8%
Over 9.564.9%
Over 10.551.9%
Over 11.539.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.8%
Away44.4%