Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 18:00
11.1880.6%
X7.0513.5%
216.135.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
LWWWWWLWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Boavista
LLLDLLWLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.50
Against
6.40
8.80
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
2.10
3.10
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.30goals per match
Boavista conceded2.10
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.20goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.40
8.80
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.40
Match total
5.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
28.40
Match total
27.50

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
5.80
On target
2.90
16%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.6%82.9%+2.3 pp
Draw13.5%13.4%-0.1 pp
Away5.9%3.7%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.539.0%
BTTS41.5%

Historical average

2.590.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.6%
3-012.2%
1-011.0%
2-19.8%
3-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.862.63
Average total10.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.8%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.7%
Away42.1%