Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 18:00
11.1880.6%
X7.0513.5%
216.135.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Porto
LWWWWWLWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Boavista
LLLDLLWLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.50
Against
6.40
8.80
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
2.10
3.10
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Porto attack
2.30goals per matchBoavista conceded2.10Matchup
Boavista attack
1.20goals per matchPorto conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.40
8.80
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.40
Match total
5.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
28.40
Match total
27.50
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
5.80
On target
2.90
16%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.6%82.9%+2.3 pp
Draw13.5%13.4%-0.1 pp
Away5.9%3.7%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.539.0%
BTTS41.5%
Historical average
2.59–0.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-014.6%
3-012.2%
1-011.0%
2-19.8%
3-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.86–2.63
Average total10.49
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.8%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.534.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.89
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals31.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.7%
Away42.1%