Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 20:30
19.1410.4%
X5.4617.3%
21.3172.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gil Vicente
LLLWWDDWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Benfica
WWLWWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
2.00
0.70
Conceded
0.50
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
10%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.30N=10
For
8.50N=10
4.50
Against
3.60
11.80
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
0.70
Goals conceded
0.50
1.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
0.80goals per matchBenfica conceded0.50Matchup
Benfica attack
2.00goals per matchGil Vicente conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
8.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.60
11.80
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
28.30
Match total
25.40
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.70
On target
5.30
6%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.4%13.3%+3.0 pp
Draw17.3%13.3%-4.0 pp
Away72.3%73.3%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
0.95–2.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.0%
1-212.0%
0-38.0%
1-48.0%
0-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.24–6.69
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals6.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home31.3%
Away68.8%