Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 20:30
19.1410.4%
X5.4617.3%
21.3172.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
LLLWWDDWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Benfica
WWLWWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.00
0.70
Conceded
0.50
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
10%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
8.50N=10
4.50
Against
3.60
11.80
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
0.70
Goals conceded
0.50
1.50
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.80goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.00goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
8.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.60
11.80
Match total
12.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
28.30
Match total
25.40

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.70
On target
5.30
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.4%13.3%+3.0 pp
Draw17.3%13.3%-4.0 pp
Away72.3%73.3%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

0.952.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.0%
1-212.0%
0-38.0%
1-48.0%
0-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.246.69
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals6.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.3%
Away68.8%