Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 18:00
11.8351.7%
X3.5626.6%
24.3721.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vizela
LLWWWDLLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LLLWLWLDDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
4.90
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.30goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.70
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.80goals per match
Vizela conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.90
10.00
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.90
Match total
5.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
25.50
Match total
31.20

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.00
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches321
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%54.8%+3.1 pp
Draw26.6%28.0%+1.4 pp
Away21.7%17.1%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.570.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.6%
2-113.7%
1-111.5%
2-010.6%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.654.01
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=321.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.535.2%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches97
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.2%31.0%–50.2% CI
Draw FT46.4%36.8%–56.3% CI
Away FT13.4%8.0%–21.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals8.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.8%
Away36.1%