Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 18:00
12.3240.9%
X3.1829.8%
23.2329.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
WDLDWLLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Casa Pia
LWWLLDLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.90
Against
4.90
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.30goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.60
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.60goals per match
Chaves conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.90
Corners against
4.90
11.20
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

4.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.90
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
26.10
Match total
27.30

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.30
On target
2.60
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches890
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%42.7%+1.8 pp
Draw29.8%29.9%+0.1 pp
Away29.3%27.4%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.301.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-013.1%
0-09.4%
2-19.1%
0-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.47
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=889.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches305
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.1%28.1%–38.6% CI
Draw FT41.6%36.2%–47.2% CI
Away FT25.2%20.7%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away43.3%